Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further
Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further
5
The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The economic climate in Australia seems to be cooling down even further as new data reveals that consumer spending continues to contract sharply.
This downturn indicates a deeper recession gripping Aussie households.
Fresh insights have emerged from two significant reports. The first came from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which unveiled April's Household Spending Indicator (HSI). This vital measure represents nearly two-thirds of total household expenditure.
Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro provided charts showing the ABS HSI, indicating that nominal spending growth remained sluggish in April. More worryingly, the spending numbers in discretionary sectors, which are often seen as indicative of consumer confidence, appeared particularly feeble.
It’s worth noting that these charts measure spending in nominal terms. Adjusting for population and inflation would show an even steeper decline in real per capita spending, painting a more concerning picture.
Meantime, Westpac released its own data on consumer activity via the Card Tracker Index. This index tracks the vast volume of daily credit and debit card transactions processed by the bank. Recent findings are not encouraging.
According to the latest figures, the Westpac Card Tracker Index dipped by 2.2 points in the final two weeks of May, landing at 132.7 as of the week ending June 1. The downward trend has been persistent, with the average reading for the past eight weeks falling by approximately 0.5 points compared to the preceding eight weeks.
The quarterly growth pulse recorded a conspicuous negative rate of -1.1%, indicating substantial contraction in economic activity when adjusted for inflation.
When looking at the state-level breakdown, a uniformly broad decline is evident, though Western Australia shows somewhat milder quarterly decreases. Despite this slight regional resilience, the overall story remains grim.
The detailed assessment of HSI and Card Tracker Index data suggests that real per capita household consumption, as captured in the national accounts, continues to plummet.
The narrative is clear-Australian households are navigating through an intractable recession without a foreseeable short-term respite.
Published:Sunday, 9th Jun 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at curbing potential risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This move is designed to address concerns over escalating property prices and accelerated credit growth. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender by market value, has reported a modest increase in its first-quarter cash profit, reaching approximately A$2.6 billion-a 2% rise from the previous year. This growth is primarily attributed to strong performances in home loans and household deposits, which saw increases of A$9.3 billion and A$17.8 billion, respectively. - read more
In response to stringent lending criteria, a significant number of Australians are actively reducing their spending and personal debt to improve their chances of securing or refinancing home loans. A recent survey conducted by Finder, involving over 1,000 participants, revealed that 18%-approximately 3.9 million people-have taken such measures over the past five years to meet lender requirements. - read more
Understanding interest rates is crucial when considering any loan. Interest rates determine how much you'll need to pay back over the life of a loan and can significantly affect the total cost. By gaining a solid grasp of how these rates work, you can make more informed decisions that could save you money in the long run. - read more
Applying for a loan can be a daunting process, filled with numerous requirements and potential pitfalls. However, avoiding mistakes is crucial to boost your chances of approval and secure the best possible terms. Making errors during your application can lead to unnecessary delays, higher interest rates, or even denial. - read more
Welcome to your essential guide on how to navigate the complex world of personal loans in Australia. Whether you're seeking to finance a major purchase, consolidate debt, or cover unexpected costs, understanding the nuts and bolts of personal loans is crucial. In this conversation, we'll shed light on why being credit-savvy is not just smart, but necessary for anyone considering a loan. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and compare
rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without obligation. We respect
your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Jumbo Loan: A mortgage loan that exceeds the conforming loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA).
